Last Updated: September 12, 2022 4:38 PM ET Reading time: 4 minutes
The Denver Broncos will visit the Seattle Seahawks for the opening Monday Night Football game of the 2022 season, or as some have called it, Russell Wilson’s “revenge” game. After 10 seasons in Seattle, Wilson moved to the Mile High City. Whether it was because the Emerald City team didn’t offer him enough green, or he just needed a change of scenery, Wilson is now favored to come in and beat Pete Carroll and his troops in front of the “12th Man” at Lumen Field. . Oddsmakers naturally offer a number of projects involving Wilson in this game, and we’ve taken a long look at each of them. Here are our three favorite Russell Wilson picks for Monday, September 12th.

Russell Wilson MNF options

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Russell Wilson MNF props

No INTs the smart play

Even when Russell Wilson was behind one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL, he was always careful with the football. Now playing with a Broncos O-line ranked No. 16 by Pro Football Focus entering the year – as opposed to the Seahawks’ No. 32 unit – it will be even easier for him to avoid interceptions. Wilson threw just six picks in 2021 out of 400 attempts, good for a 1.5% interception rate. In nine of his 14 starts last season, Wilson didn’t throw a single INT. Seattle was 23rd in the NFL in interceptions last season, picking off the opposing quarterback just 11 times. Four of those 11 picks were recorded by players who are no longer with the team, namely DJ Reed, Ugo Amadi and Bobby Wagner. The odds on this bracket may not be as attractive straight up, but they look like good value. It would also be an amazing addition to any variation. Pro: Under 0.5 cuts (-165)

Wilson scores two touchdowns

Wilson was occasionally handcuffed by Carroll’s play-calling with the Seahawks, but still found a way to be a touchdown-tossing machine. “DangerRuss” had at least two hits in six of his last seven games in Seattle last season. The 2021 campaign was considered a down year for the former third-round pick, but his 6.3 percent touchdown rate ranked fourth in the NFL among qualifiers. Wilson was second in the same class in 2020 with a 7.2% touchdown percentage, trailing only league MVP Aaron Rodgers (9.1%). The season-ending training camp injury suffered by wide receiver Tim Patrick takes some of the starch out of Denver’s offense, but Wilson will have to make sure Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy are at their best after a couple of seasons lost in the forest. quarterback game. Javonte Williams and Melvin Gordon III both serve as threats out of the backfield, as the tandem combined for five receiving TDs a year ago. Prop: Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-125) Covers NFL betting analysis

Russ will not be happy

One might be tempted to believe that Wilson will air it early and often advocate for Carroll on Monday night, but the smart play is to back the Under in the pass attempt market. The Seahawks look overmatched on both sides of the ball, as their defense ranked 28th per game last year (379.1), while Denver’s was eighth (326.1). The quarterback competition is anything but fair, with Wilson waging a war against Geno Smith, who hasn’t held down a starting job since 2014. Smith has an alarmingly high 3.7% career interception percentage, so there’s a chance the Broncos defense can help turn this game into a laugher. If that’s the case, then Wilson can take his foot off the gas pedal and let Williams and Gordon do the work in the second half. This bet could be played up to 31.5 pass attempts. Pro: Under 33.5 pass attempts (+100)